Insights

Let’s Hope Vaccine Nationalism Is Not The Start Of A Long-Term Trend
This week we saw some exceptional vaccination rates as the UK powers towards its target of vaccinating all over 50s before the middle of April. With around 4m doses administered, there is a good chance of beating this by a week or two. The under 50s might have to wait...

Markets Sceptical About Central Banks’ Commitment To Low Interest Rates
This week we saw markets continue to worry about what a world without free money might look like, with government bonds getting dumped despite US Federal Reserve claims that rate rises are two or three years away. The perverse good news is bad news scenario happens...

Sharp Decline In UK/EU Trade As Covid-19 Restrictions And Brexit Combine
This week we got news that UK exports to the EU dropped by 40 per cent in January. While there is limited benefit from looking at a single data point, especially when there are so many random factors that could be influencing the figures – not least a global pandemic,...

Déjà Vu For Financial Markets As Rishi Sunak Delays The Cost Of Covid
This week we have seen the same story played out in financial markets as last week. Hopes of quick economic recovery have sparked concerns about rising inflation, which in turn leads to fears that central banks will withdraw market stimulus and/or increase interest...

Should I seek regulated financial advice before accessing my pension?
In 2015, Former Chancellor George Osborne announced the biggest change to the UKs pension system in decades with the introduction of pension freedoms. Pension freedoms enable members of defined contribution pension schemes to access their savings early from age...

Potential For Swift Recovery Prompts Fears Of Inflation
This week there was a bit of excitement in markets as investors tried to process what an end to the coronavirus pandemic might mean. In the first instance there is some hope this might mean a strong recovery over the summer, as pent up demand gets released and some of...

UK January Sales Figures Almost As Low As The Temperature In Texas
This week treated us to some shockingly bad retail sales data. While expectations were low, what with all the shops being shut, sales were 8% lower in January than December when many shops were also shut under the tier system. While a seasonal drop off is expected...

The Frictional Costs Of Trading Post-Brexit Are Becoming More Apparent
This week the impacts of Brexit have been coming into focus. While the political benefits of leaving were reinforced last week by the incompetence of the European Commission and its bungled vaccine program, the economic cost of leaving the single market is also...

UK And Europe Waiting For Covid Vaccinations To Revive Economic Growth
This week the impact of enforced hibernation over the winter started to become apparent, as a number of worse than expected GDP forecasts were published. The Bank of England expects the economy to shrink by 4 per cent in the first three months of the year and, despite...

US Fed Reserves Judgement While Retail Investors Take On Wall Street
This week we caught a slight glimpse of what life was like in the before times, when the most notable news we had to deal with was a couple of central bank statements. US Federal Reserve chairman, Jay Powell, gave a downbeat speech that sent a strong signal they...
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